This page is powered by Blogger. Isn't yours?

Odawg's Blizzog

Owen's Life in New Orleans - Stuff in the News - Oil Watch - Formula One - CART - IRL - Motorsports - The Saints - The Chiefs - The Hornets
Thanks for coming by...
| Email the Odawg | Make Your Own Blog | Find a Blog | Comments by YACCS |
Odawg's Bio
The Odawg - that's me - was born into a family of Americans living abroad. After moving around for a while, my family settled in a nice midwestern town where I had a "normal" childhood. After going to college and getting a degree in engineering concerning things nautical, I've been working for various people in the maritime industry. Besides being born in Germany, I've lived in Oklahoma, Kansas, Indiana, New York, Rhode Island, Connecticut, Mississippi, Texas, and Louisiana. The Dawg House is presently in New Orleans.
Odawg's Non-Vital Stats
NAME: Owen William Tredennick
AGE: Late 20's
GENDER: Male
MARITAL STATUS: Single, never married
PROFESSION: Engineer
RELIGION: Episcopalian
ASPIRATIONS: Family. Travel. Living a complete life.
REGRETS: Not studying. Spending more and caring less. Holding back.
STRENGTHS: Good listener. Problem solver. Adventurous. Loyal.
WEAKNESSES: Food. Booze. Procrastination. Indecisiveness.
FEARS: That it will all be revealed to be a load of shite.
GRATEFUL FOR: God. America. Loving family. Faithful friends. Good knives. Insurance. Armed Forces.
CURRENTLY DRIVES A: Mazda pickup
FAVORITE FOOD: Jacques Imo's Shrimp and Alligator Sausage Cheesecake
FAVORITE DRINK: Vodka Sour
FAVORITE BEER: Guinness
FAVORITE BAR, ANYWHERE: The Londoner in Kitzbuhel, Austria
LIVES IN: A two bedroom house
COKE OR PEPSI?: Coke
NUMBER OF HOUSEPLANTS: 6
BEST WAY TO PREPARE A STRAWBERRY: Fry it
BEST BURGER: The Prospector at Meers Country, Meers OK
FAVORITE NEW ORLEANS EVENT: Mardi Gras
FAVORITE NFC TEAM: The Saints
FAVORITE AFC TEAM: The Chiefs
FAVORITE F1 DRIVER: Juan Montoya
FAVORITE IRL DRIVER: Michael Andretti
Auto Racing Links
F1-Live
Speed Channel
CART
ESPN
7th Gear
Auto Racing 1
Trackforum
The Racing Report
Alternative Championship Headquarters
Pitpass
BBC Motorsport
Sky News Formula 1
Friends
The Land of Audra
The Superheater
New Orleans Links
Inside New Orleans
NOLA Live
Best of New Orleans
New Orleans City Government
NOPD
WWL TV
ABC 26
WDSU
Louisiana Politics Links
Deduct Box
John Maginnis
Politics 1
Forgotston
Politics LA
Bayoubuzz
Oil Links
Offshore Magazine
Oil & Gas Journal
Rigzone
Energy Information Administration
Oil Online
Oil News
Bloomberg Energy News
Oil and Gas Online
Alexander's Oil & Gas Connections
American Petroleum Institute
NYMEX Quotes
Rig Data
WTRG
ESAI
International Energy Agency
Latest Prices (From Upstream)
World Oil
Righty Links
National Review
Reason
The Weekly Standard
Townhall
Lefty Links
The New Republic
The Nation
Slate
Salon
News Links
Drudge Report
NY Times
Washington Times
Washington Post
USA Today
Strategy Page
Global Security
Blog Links
Andrew Sullivan
Virginia Postrel
Expat Pundit
Possum Blog
Friday Five
Christopher Drew
Tal G. In Jerusalem
Cockalorum
Vodka Pundit
Fenstemaker's Diary
Listen Missy
Long-Haired Country Boy
Gary Farber
Instapundit
Give War a Chance
Mark Byron
Libertarian Samizdata
Viva Capitalism!
The Truth About Israel
Blissful Knowledge
We Are Full of Shit
Dave Tepper
Poserpundit
Daily Pundit
OxBlog
David Warren
Cranky Professor
Godless Capitalist
Naked Writing
Ken Layne
Overlawyered
Kausfiles
Talking Points Memo
Joanne Jacobs
Pundit Watch
Matt Welch
Patrick Ruffini
Bjorn Staerk
USS Clueless
Happy Fun Pundit
Brink Lindsey
Volokh Conspiracy
Just One Thing
Tres Producers
The Review
The Boar's Head Tavern
Uncivil Rights
Liberty's Lungs
Ranting Screeds
Kesher Talk
Knowledge Problem
Little Green Footballs
Asparagirl
TBOTCOTW
James Lileks
Townhall's C-Log
Herittage's Daily Briefing
The Truth Laid Bear
Dancing with Dogs
Reflections in D Minor
Right-Thinking
Powerline
Tacitus
Dan Drezner
Where's Raed?
War Blogs
Juan Gato
The Agonist
Columnists
Mark Steyn
Fun Links
The Onion
Mr. Cranky
Satire Wire
Modern Drunkard Magazine
Borowitz Report
Archive

7.09.2003

CLAUDETTE UPDATE

Not much new in the latest advisory.

The most recent discussion pretty much reinforces the earlier one. In the short term, conditions are unfavorable for strengthening, and high altitude shear could wipe out the circulation.

But if it holds together and gets far enough west, it'll slow down, turn more to the north and west, and perhaps strengthen after crossing the Yucatan into the Gulf.

UPDATE: Folks on the Texas Gulf Coast might want to check out this.

13:41 Link to this blogging

CLAUDETTE WATCH

She's still moving west at about 25 mph.

This morning's NHC discussion paints a worrisome picture. Conditions are unfavorable for strengthening now, but as she moves west, that will change. Some 85 mph winds were recorded by a reconaissance plane this morning, but the central pressure has gone up and the satellite imagery shows decreasing organization. So she's not a hurricane yet, but she's close and could get there.

That's not really the worrisome part, at least for New Orleans. The discussion goes on to talk about "the guidance", which I'm guessing is the term NHC uses for their hurricane forecasting and prediction tools. That's where it gets it worrisome:

"THE GUIDANCE IS GENERALLY IN GOOD AGREEMENT ABOUT A SLOWING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK FOR 3 DAYS BRINGING THE STORM ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND OVER THE SOUTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO. GUIDANCE DIVERGES SOME BY DAY 5 WITH THE GFS MODEL SHOWING A LOCATION OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AND THE NOGAPS HAS THE CENTER OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS A CONSENSUS OF THE GUIDANCE IN BETWEEN THESE EXTREMES."

I certainly hope the NOGAPS model is wrong.

UPDATE: She won't die:

"CLAUDETTE RETAINS A SMALL CORE...AND THE ONGOING SHEAR COULD STILL CAUSE WEAKENING. HOWEVER...SO FAR THIS SHEARING PUNCH TO THE JAW HAS NOT BEEN A FATAL BLOW."

In a nutshell: she might be a hurricane by the time she hits the Yucatan. She'll weaken a bit when she makes landfall, then perhaps strengthen again in the Gulf.

Not what I wanted to read.

09:29 Link to this blogging
7.08.2003

MEET CLAUDETTE

Bill apparently has a distant cousin.

And today is her birthday.

Fortunately for New Orleans, she's is the Carribean right now, moving west at 30 mph. That would send her plowing into Honduras, Costa Rica, and Nicaragua.

Of course, the NWS discussion leads one to believe that Claudette could strengthen and take on a more northern track. Something about a weakness in a "strong subtropical ridge" being worsened by a "deep-layer trough" over the Eastern US...yadda yadda...Claudette ends up in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico, and Owen and Lucie must board up the house again.

But the discussion goes on to read:

"HOWEVER... CURRENT TRENDS SUGGEST THAT CLAUDETTE WILL BE WEST OF THE TROUGH AXIS IN 72-96 HR...WHICH WOULD PRODUCE A SLOWER AND MORE WESTWARD MOTION."

So the "current trends" suggest she goes west, not northwest. Fine. As usual, wait and see.

16:23 Link to this blogging

JULY 9TH...

...is a big day in Iran this year. The anti-thugocracy student movement has been planning for weeks now massive protests against the mullahs for tomorrow. That's resulted in some harsh crackdowns by the ruling class, frequently using imported thugs.

How massive will the protests be? How much attention will they attract in the West? And how much can they impact the mullahs?

We'll find out tomorrow. You can count on bloggers Jeff Jarvis, Andrew Sullivan, and Glenn Reynolds to be on it, even if the mainstream press isn't.

If you can tomorrow, put those protestors in your prayers. Their cause is just, but their task is dangerous.

16:21 Link to this blogging

The stuff on this page represents whatever was on Odawg's mind when he typed it. I hope that you, the reader, are not too disappointed. After all, it's a big Web, and you wound up here. However that happened, I hope you enjoyed your stay, and I invite you to come again. This is written strictly for fun during Odawg's free time. Of course, no time really is free. So I'm honored you chose to spend some of your time here.